Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Thomas 51.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 51-35 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 75.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 87.2%
Neutral zone
Eichel 88.0%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Eichel
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
51
(86 meetings)
35
51
Eichel
Thomas
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
13
11
Eichel
Thomas
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
8
19
Eichel
Thomas
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
14
21
Eichel
Thomas
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
51.1% (5,387)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
55.8% (927)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
50.2% (697)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Eichel is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,913).
Eichel shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Home / Away
Eichel
Thomas
Home
45.8% (4,954)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Eichel
Thomas
P1
45.5%
50.7%
P2
45.8%
53.0%
P3
44.1%
50.8%
OT
44.1%
59.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |