Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Donato 47.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 60.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 58.9%
Neutral zone
Donato 59.1%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Eichel
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Eichel
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Eichel
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
46.8% (297)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
41.0% (39)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
100.0% (1)
-58.8%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Eichel shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Eichel
Donato
Home
48.0% (564)
45.8% (142)
Away
47.9% (509)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Eichel
Donato
P1
49.8%
49.5%
P2
48.6%
45.7%
P3
46.7%
43.4%
OT
37.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |