Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.3% vs Donato 50.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 64.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 73.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 68.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Eichel
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Eichel
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Eichel
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (639)
51.4% (175)
-4.5%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
41.9% (31)
+10.0%
On power play, Eichel has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Eichel is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Eichel shoots right. Donato is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Eichel
Donato
Home
44.4% (385)
48.6% (107)
Away
49.6% (373)
51.5% (99)
By Period
Eichel
Donato
P1
48.0%
52.0%
P2
49.0%
48.8%
P3
45.0%
47.8%
OT
38.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
47.0%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |