Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 47.2%). Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs McLeod 47.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 64.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 70.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Eichel
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Eichel
McLeod
Last 9: Eichel 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Eichel
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Eichel
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
49.0% (827)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
44.0% (91)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
43.0% (272)
-1.8%
On power play, Eichel has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Eichel shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Eichel
McLeod
Home
48.0% (564)
48.5% (619)
Away
47.9% (509)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Eichel
McLeod
P1
49.8%
52.7%
P2
48.6%
43.9%
P3
46.7%
45.8%
OT
37.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |