Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Lafferty 47.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 70.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 77.6%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 56.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Eichel
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Eichel
Lafferty
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
2
Eichel
Lafferty
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Eichel
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
47.9% (1,417)
-3.1%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
45.7% (46)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
43.5% (184)
-5.7%
On power play, Eichel has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Eichel is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,913).
Eichel shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Eichel
Lafferty
Home
45.8% (4,954)
47.3% (833)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Eichel
Lafferty
P1
45.5%
49.4%
P2
45.8%
43.1%
P3
44.1%
49.6%
OT
44.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |