Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Monahan 52.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 61.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 64.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 65.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Eichel
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Eichel
Monahan
Last 7: Eichel 1-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Eichel
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Eichel
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (894)
53.0% (874)
-4.9%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
54.7% (161)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
47.5% (101)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Eichel shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Eichel
Monahan
Home
48.0% (548)
53.8% (558)
Away
47.9% (509)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Eichel
Monahan
P1
49.8%
49.5%
P2
48.9%
54.8%
P3
46.4%
52.8%
OT
37.5%
61.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |