Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 36-27 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 83.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 71.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 80.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Eichel
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
36
(63 meetings)
27
36
Eichel
Monahan
Last 10: Eichel 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
11
16
Eichel
Monahan
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
14
Eichel
Monahan
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
7
6
Eichel
Monahan
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
51.1% (11,407)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
53.6% (2,582)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
45.9% (772)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Eichel shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Eichel
Monahan
Home
45.8% (4,954)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Eichel
Monahan
P1
45.5%
51.0%
P2
45.8%
51.7%
P3
44.1%
51.0%
OT
44.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |