Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 52.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 68.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 57.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Eichel
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eichel
Stamkos
Last 5: Eichel 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eichel
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Eichel
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
57.1% (368)
-8.9%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
55.2% (96)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
50.0% (10)
-8.8%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Eichel shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stamkos
Home
48.0% (564)
53.9% (230)
Away
47.9% (509)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Eichel
Stamkos
P1
49.8%
56.7%
P2
48.6%
54.1%
P3
46.7%
59.2%
OT
37.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |