Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 45 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Hertl 54.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 72-44 in 116 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 90.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 91.7%
Neutral zone
Eichel 91.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Eichel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
72
(116 meetings)
44
72
Eichel
Hertl
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
16
29
Eichel
Hertl
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
17
23
Eichel
Hertl
40 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
11
20
Eichel
Hertl
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
53.9% (8,303)
-9.1%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
59.2% (1,995)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
46.3% (806)
-8.5%
On even strength, Hertl has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Eichel shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hertl
Home
45.8% (4,954)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Eichel
Hertl
P1
45.5%
53.6%
P2
45.8%
54.2%
P3
44.1%
55.3%
OT
44.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |