Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 47.8%). Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Johnston 48.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 53.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 52.5%
Neutral zone
Eichel 50.6%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Eichel
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Eichel
Johnston
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Eichel
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Eichel
Johnston
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
47.3% (666)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
50.7% (69)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
51.4% (35)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Eichel shoots right. Johnston is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Eichel
Johnston
Home
48.0% (564)
47.5% (364)
Away
47.9% (509)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Eichel
Johnston
P1
49.8%
49.4%
P2
48.6%
46.9%
P3
46.7%
47.1%
OT
37.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |