Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schwindt wins 36.8% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 46.8% vs Finley 50.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Finley leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Schwindt 74.7%
Defensive zone
Finley 63.1%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 59.1%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Schwindt
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Schwindt
Finley
Last 10: Schwindt 5-5 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
0
Schwindt
Finley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
1
2
Schwindt
Finley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
3
4
Schwindt
Finley
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (122)
50.2% (279)
-6.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (14)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
51.5% (33)
-7.1%
On power play, Schwindt has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Schwindt is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Schwindt shoots right. Finley is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Finley
Home
40.3% (77)
53.8% (199)
Away
50.0% (58)
44.9% (127)
By Period
Schwindt
Finley
P1
47.6%
52.8%
P2
42.9%
47.5%
P3
43.2%
51.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Jack Finley |