Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.4%). Look for Finley on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 55.2%
Defensive zone
Finley 56.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 50.1%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Finley
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Finley
Jankowski
Last 10: Finley 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Finley
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
4
3
Finley
Jankowski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
51.5% (3,490)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.7% (95)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
42.7% (534)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Finley shoots right. Jankowski is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
Finley
Jankowski
Home
53.8% (199)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
45.5% (132)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Finley
Jankowski
P1
52.8%
49.8%
P2
47.5%
51.1%
P3
51.6%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |