Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Hischier 52.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Finley 54.6%
Defensive zone
Finley 81.4%
Neutral zone
Finley 69.5%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Finley
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Finley
Hischier
Last 10: Finley 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
6
Finley
Hischier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
3
2
Finley
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Finley
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
51.6% (8,444)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
59.9% (1,749)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
49.3% (918)
+2.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Finley shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Home / Away
Finley
Hischier
Home
53.8% (199)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
45.5% (132)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Finley
Hischier
P1
52.8%
52.9%
P2
47.5%
52.6%
P3
51.6%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
50.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jack Finley |