Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.8% vs Roy 48.4% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.3%
Defensive zone
Finley 50.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Finley
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (275)
48.7% (3,719)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
49.5% (283)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
45.5% (477)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Finley
Roy
Home
53.8% (199)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
46.7% (122)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Finley
Roy
P1
54.7%
50.8%
P2
47.4%
46.3%
P3
52.1%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
51.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%