Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.2% vs Roy 51.9% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Roy 50.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 52.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Finley
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (279)
51.9% (547)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
53.3% (92)
-1.8%
On power play, Roy has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Finley is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Finley shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Finley
Roy
Home
53.8% (199)
54.0% (328)
Away
44.9% (127)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Finley
Roy
P1
52.8%
53.5%
P2
47.5%
51.6%
P3
51.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%