Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.7% vs Abols 51.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 57.1%
Defensive zone
Finley 57.4%
Neutral zone
Finley 54.9%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Finley
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Finley
Abols
Last 8: Finley 5-3 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
3
0
Finley
Abols
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
1
Finley
Abols
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Finley
Abols
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (270)
52.2% (293)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
50.0% (6)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Finley is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Finley shoots right. Abols is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Finley
Abols
Home
53.8% (199)
54.7% (150)
Away
46.2% (117)
49.7% (153)
By Period
Finley
Abols
P1
54.7%
54.4%
P2
47.4%
46.3%
P3
51.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.9%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jack Finley |