Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Abols 53.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 74.9%
Defensive zone
Abols 50.4%
Neutral zone
Abols 57.5%
Result
Rodrigo Abols favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Finley
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Finley
Abols
Last 8: Finley 5-3 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
3
0
Finley
Abols
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
1
Finley
Abols
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Finley
Abols
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
53.7% (402)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
57.1% (7)
-5.6%
On power play, Abols has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Finley shoots right. Abols is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Finley
Abols
Home
53.8% (199)
56.3% (215)
Away
45.5% (132)
51.2% (201)
By Period
Finley
Abols
P1
52.8%
55.6%
P2
47.5%
47.3%
P3
51.6%
59.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jack Finley |