Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Monahan 51.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.8%
Defensive zone
Finley 77.9%
Neutral zone
Finley 51.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Finley
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Finley
Monahan
Last 6: Finley 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Finley
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
51.1% (11,407)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.6% (2,582)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
45.9% (772)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Finley shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Finley
Monahan
Home
53.8% (199)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
45.5% (132)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Finley
Monahan
P1
52.8%
51.0%
P2
47.5%
51.7%
P3
51.6%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Jack Finley |