Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Finley wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.2% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 71.6%
Defensive zone
Finley 63.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 54.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Finley
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Finley
Trocheck
Last 6: Finley 3-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Finley
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Finley
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (279)
58.0% (666)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
64.8% (165)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
43.4% (152)
+8.1%
On power play, Trocheck has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Finley is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Finley shoots right. Trocheck is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Finley
Trocheck
Home
53.8% (199)
55.3% (436)
Away
44.9% (127)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Finley
Trocheck
P1
52.8%
56.4%
P2
47.5%
58.7%
P3
51.3%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jack Finley |