Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Finley leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Finley 50.0%
Defensive zone
Finley 63.6%
Neutral zone
Finley 57.7%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Finley
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Finley
Ostapchuk
Last 10: Finley 6-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Finley
Ostapchuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
3
2
Finley
Ostapchuk
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
49.1% (632)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
45.5% (66)
+6.0%
On power play, Finley has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Finley shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Finley
Ostapchuk
Home
53.8% (199)
48.6% (329)
Away
45.5% (132)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Finley
Ostapchuk
P1
52.8%
48.5%
P2
47.5%
46.4%
P3
51.6%
50.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 00:13 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |