Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Roslovic 45.1% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 62.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 50.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 70.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Hughes
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Hughes
Roslovic
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Roslovic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Roslovic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Roslovic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
45.0% (3,012)
-9.0%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
48.4% (341)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
34.3% (105)
-3.3%
On power play, Roslovic has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Hughes shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Home / Away
Hughes
Roslovic
Home
36.8% (1,681)
44.0% (1,739)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
46.0% (1,719)
By Period
Hughes
Roslovic
P1
36.9%
45.5%
P2
33.4%
44.9%
P3
38.2%
44.8%
OT
37.5%
31.8%
Final 5 min
34.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |