Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Evans 55.0% (-19.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 82.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 58.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Hughes
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Hughes
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
55.6% (522)
-18.9%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
72.7% (11)
-58.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
55.2% (210)
-21.9%
On power play, Evans has a +58.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Hughes
Evans
Home
35.8% (159)
54.7% (402)
Away
36.5% (159)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Hughes
Evans
P1
42.3%
57.9%
P2
28.2%
55.2%
P3
37.2%
53.6%
Final 5 min
27.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |