Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Dickinson 47.7% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 88.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 75.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 66.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Hughes
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hughes
Dickinson
Last 8: Hughes 3-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
0
Hughes
Dickinson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
3
Hughes
Dickinson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Hughes
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
49.0% (4,390)
-13.0%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
51.1% (141)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
40.6% (890)
-9.6%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,470).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dickinson
Home
36.8% (1,681)
49.3% (2,791)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
46.0% (2,630)
By Period
Hughes
Dickinson
P1
36.9%
47.0%
P2
33.4%
48.2%
P3
38.2%
47.7%
OT
37.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
34.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |