Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Drouin 49.5% (-13.1%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 55.2%
Defensive zone
Drouin 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.3%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Hughes
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
47.5% (181)
-10.8%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
56.8% (44)
-42.5%
On power play, Drouin has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Hughes
Drouin
Home
35.8% (159)
49.5% (97)
Away
36.5% (159)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Hughes
Drouin
P1
42.3%
52.1%
P2
28.2%
51.5%
P3
37.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
27.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%