Scouting Report
Kirby Dach holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Dach 45.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 67.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 66.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Hughes
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hughes
Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Hughes
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Hughes
Dach
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
39.8% (108)
-3.1%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
57.1% (7)
-42.8%
On power play, Dach has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Dach is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dach
Home
35.8% (159)
43.1% (72)
Away
36.5% (159)
37.2% (43)
By Period
Hughes
Dach
P1
42.3%
37.8%
P2
28.2%
41.7%
P3
37.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
27.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |