Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Eller 50.5% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 93.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 72.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 90.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Hughes
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Hughes
Eller
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
4
Hughes
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Hughes
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
8
Hughes
Eller
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
51.1% (10,321)
-15.1%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
52.8% (621)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
46.6% (1,759)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Hughes
Eller
Home
36.8% (1,681)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Hughes
Eller
P1
36.9%
51.2%
P2
33.4%
50.1%
P3
38.2%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
34.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |