Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Crouse 43.3% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 53.1%
Defensive zone
Crouse 61.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.4%
Result
Lawson Crouse favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Hughes
Crouse
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
33.9% (56)
+2.8%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
42.9% (14)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
25.0% (8)
+8.3%
On power play, Crouse has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Crouse is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crouse
Home
35.8% (159)
34.1% (41)
Away
36.5% (159)
35.1% (37)
By Period
Hughes
Crouse
P1
42.3%
43.3%
P2
28.2%
27.3%
P3
37.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
27.5%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
34.6%