Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 94.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 75.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 90.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Hughes
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Hughes
Jankowski
Last 10: Hughes 1-9 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
8
Hughes
Jankowski
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Hughes
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
51.5% (3,490)
-15.5%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
53.7% (95)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
42.7% (534)
-11.7%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
Hughes
Jankowski
Home
36.8% (1,681)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Hughes
Jankowski
P1
36.9%
49.8%
P2
33.4%
51.1%
P3
38.2%
50.3%
OT
37.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |