Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Geekie 48.5% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 51.0%
Defensive zone
Geekie 61.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 69.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Hughes
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hughes
Geekie
Last 7: Hughes 4-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
48.7% (2,310)
-12.7%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
46.0% (189)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
45.7% (129)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Hughes shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Home / Away
Hughes
Geekie
Home
36.8% (1,681)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
Hughes
Geekie
P1
36.9%
48.6%
P2
33.4%
48.9%
P3
38.2%
47.7%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |