Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Dowd 48.6% (-12.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 81.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 92.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hughes
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
51.0% (671)
-14.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
0.0% (2)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
41.5% (224)
-8.2%
On power play, Hughes has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dowd
Home
35.8% (159)
48.2% (471)
Away
36.5% (159)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Hughes
Dowd
P1
42.3%
48.3%
P2
28.2%
46.8%
P3
37.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
27.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%