Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Hughes
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Hughes
Bjugstad
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
0
Hughes
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
5
Hughes
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Hughes
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
48.6% (6,646)
-12.6%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
55.2% (829)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
44.3% (614)
-13.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Hughes shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Hughes
Bjugstad
Home
36.8% (1,681)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Hughes
Bjugstad
P1
36.9%
48.9%
P2
33.4%
49.1%
P3
38.2%
48.5%
OT
37.5%
61.3%
Final 5 min
34.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |