Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 23-10 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 90.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 98.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 96.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 94.8%
94.8%
5.2%
Hughes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
23
(33 meetings)
10
23
Hughes
Suzuki
Last 10: Hughes 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
8
4
Hughes
Suzuki
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
10
Hughes
Suzuki
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
9
Hughes
Suzuki
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
49.4% (6,368)
-13.4%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
50.8% (1,355)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
44.0% (466)
-13.0%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Hughes shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Hughes
Suzuki
Home
36.8% (1,681)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Hughes
Suzuki
P1
36.9%
48.9%
P2
33.4%
49.1%
P3
38.2%
50.3%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
34.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |