Scouting Report
Pavel Buchnevich holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 52.0%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Hughes
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
40.5% (190)
-3.8%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
42.9% (14)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
30.0% (10)
+3.3%
On power play, Buchnevich has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Hughes
Buchnevich
Home
35.8% (159)
40.7% (118)
Away
36.5% (159)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Hughes
Buchnevich
P1
42.3%
42.3%
P2
28.2%
37.5%
P3
37.2%
40.3%
Final 5 min
27.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%