Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Dubois 48.9% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 66.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 69.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Hughes
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hughes
Dubois
Last 6: Hughes 1-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
3
Hughes
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Hughes
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
44.8% (259)
-8.1%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
70.6% (34)
-56.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
75.0% (8)
-41.7%
On power play, Dubois has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dubois
Home
35.8% (159)
46.6% (163)
Away
36.5% (159)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Hughes
Dubois
P1
42.3%
44.0%
P2
28.2%
51.5%
P3
37.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
27.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |