Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Byfield 45.0% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.9%
Defensive zone
Byfield 68.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 55.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Hughes
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hughes
Byfield
Last 9: Hughes 4-5 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Byfield
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Hughes
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Hughes
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
45.4% (2,149)
-9.4%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
47.8% (113)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
37.8% (230)
-6.8%
On even strength, Byfield has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Byfield is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,656).
Home / Away
Hughes
Byfield
Home
36.8% (1,681)
45.3% (1,183)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
44.4% (1,309)
By Period
Hughes
Byfield
P1
36.9%
45.2%
P2
33.4%
43.7%
P3
38.2%
45.9%
OT
37.5%
40.5%
Final 5 min
34.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |