Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Nash 51.7% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 82.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Hughes
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hughes
Nash
Last 7: Hughes 3-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Hughes
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Hughes
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
54.1% (292)
-19.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
57.1% (7)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.9% (98)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Hughes
Nash
Home
32.6% (187)
56.3% (183)
Away
36.7% (166)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Hughes
Nash
P1
33.9%
58.9%
P2
34.2%
51.0%
P3
36.5%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
29.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Riley Nash |