Scouting Report
Ryan Greene holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Greene 43.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.5%
Defensive zone
Greene 64.5%
Neutral zone
Greene 70.6%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Hughes
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Greene
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Hughes
Greene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Greene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
43.2% (530)
-7.2%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
46.8% (62)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
40.1% (167)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Greene has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Hughes shoots left. Greene is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Hughes
Greene
Home
36.8% (1,681)
47.4% (382)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
38.2% (377)
By Period
Hughes
Greene
P1
36.9%
46.1%
P2
33.4%
37.6%
P3
38.2%
45.2%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |