Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Hartman 45.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 72.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 79.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Hughes
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hughes
Hartman
Last 8: Hughes 5-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
5
0
Hughes
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Hughes
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
45.2% (4,279)
-9.2%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
47.3% (446)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
42.4% (262)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Hughes shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Hughes
Hartman
Home
36.8% (1,681)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Hughes
Hartman
P1
36.9%
46.1%
P2
33.4%
42.9%
P3
38.2%
46.7%
OT
37.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
34.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |