Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Strome 45.9% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 63.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 81.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 57.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Hughes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hughes
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Hughes
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
45.4% (315)
-8.7%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
35.7% (28)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
On power play, Strome has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Hughes
Strome
Home
35.8% (159)
42.6% (188)
Away
36.5% (159)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Hughes
Strome
P1
42.3%
38.6%
P2
28.2%
48.4%
P3
37.2%
46.2%
Final 5 min
27.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |