Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 59.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Hughes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Hughes
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
52.6% (464)
-15.9%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
100.0% (1)
-85.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.5% (155)
-13.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +85.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kuraly
Home
35.8% (159)
55.9% (322)
Away
36.5% (159)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Hughes
Kuraly
P1
42.3%
55.9%
P2
28.2%
46.7%
P3
37.2%
50.7%
Final 5 min
27.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |