Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Thompson 46.5% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.5%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Hughes
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
35.1% (151)
46.1% (484)
-11.0%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
48.4% (91)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
30.0% (20)
+3.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hughes is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Hughes shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Hughes
Thompson
Home
32.4% (74)
47.9% (313)
Away
36.0% (89)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Hughes
Thompson
P1
38.8%
50.5%
P2
27.6%
44.6%
P3
36.8%
42.3%
Final 5 min
29.6%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.4%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%