Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 87.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 82.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 87.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Hughes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hughes
Trocheck
Last 5: Hughes 0-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hughes
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Hughes
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hughes
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
58.0% (666)
-21.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
64.8% (165)
-50.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.4% (152)
-10.1%
On power play, Trocheck has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Hughes
Trocheck
Home
35.8% (159)
55.3% (436)
Away
36.5% (159)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Hughes
Trocheck
P1
42.3%
56.4%
P2
28.2%
58.7%
P3
37.2%
55.5%
Final 5 min
27.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |