Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs McBain 50.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 55.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 87.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 70.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 83.8%
16.2%
83.8%
Point
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Point
McBain
Last 5: Point 4-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
McBain
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
52.5% (569)
-6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
42.1% (19)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
36.2% (47)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Point
McBain
Home
46.6% (264)
52.4% (309)
Away
46.4% (302)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Point
McBain
P1
46.3%
54.0%
P2
45.5%
52.7%
P3
48.6%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Brayden Point |