Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs McCann 43.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 52.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 80.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 67.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
McBain
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McBain
McCann
Last 6: McBain 4-2 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
McCann
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
5
3
McBain
McCann
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
43.1% (3,178)
+5.0%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
40.0% (260)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
42.2% (173)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
Home / Away
McBain
McCann
Home
49.1% (1,379)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
McBain
McCann
P1
47.1%
44.4%
P2
47.4%
41.7%
P3
45.4%
42.7%
OT
37.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Jack McBain |