Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Megna on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Megna shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Megna 49.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 66.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 64.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
McBain
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
McBain
Megna
Last 7: McBain 0-7 Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Megna
0
1
McBain
Megna
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
0
2
McBain
Megna
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Megna
0
4
McBain
Megna
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
49.1% (401)
-1.0%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
50.0% (4)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
47.6% (42)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Megna has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
McBain shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
McBain
Megna
Home
49.1% (1,379)
49.3% (227)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
48.6% (220)
By Period
McBain
Megna
P1
47.1%
51.7%
P2
47.4%
49.3%
P3
45.4%
46.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |