Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Ek 49.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 55.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 51.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McBain
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McBain
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
48.1% (858)
+4.4%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
53.3% (272)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
47.9% (188)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
McBain
Ek
Home
52.4% (309)
49.9% (693)
Away
49.7% (326)
48.3% (625)
By Period
McBain
Ek
P1
54.0%
47.4%
P2
52.7%
53.1%
P3
46.5%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jack McBain |