Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs McTavish 49.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 65.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 65.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
McBain
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McBain
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
47.6% (618)
+4.9%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
58.3% (103)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
33.3% (6)
+2.9%
On power play, McTavish has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
McBain
McTavish
Home
52.4% (309)
52.2% (391)
Away
49.7% (326)
45.2% (336)
By Period
McBain
McTavish
P1
54.0%
50.2%
P2
52.7%
47.7%
P3
46.5%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Jack McBain |