Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Beniers 48.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 50.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 57.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 59.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
McBain
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Beniers
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
McBain
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
48.3% (862)
+4.2%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
58.3% (36)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
50.0% (32)
-13.8%
On power play, Beniers has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
McBain
Beniers
Home
52.4% (309)
52.4% (460)
Away
49.7% (326)
45.1% (470)
By Period
McBain
Beniers
P1
54.0%
47.5%
P2
52.7%
50.6%
P3
46.5%
47.6%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |