Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sasson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Sasson 44.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 68.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 87.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 89.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
McBain
Sasson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McBain
Sasson
Last 6: McBain 5-1 Sasson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Sasson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Sasson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sasson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
41.7% (266)
+10.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
47.4% (19)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
0.0% (1)
+36.2%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sasson shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Sasson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
McBain
Sasson
Home
52.4% (309)
35.6% (101)
Away
49.7% (326)
45.4% (185)
By Period
McBain
Sasson
P1
54.0%
41.5%
P2
52.7%
38.1%
P3
46.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |