Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Sasson 43.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 61.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 80.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 73.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
McBain
Sasson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McBain
Sasson
Last 6: McBain 5-1 Sasson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Sasson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Sasson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sasson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
42.2% (374)
+5.9%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
47.4% (19)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
0.0% (3)
+35.6%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sasson shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Sasson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
McBain
Sasson
Home
49.1% (1,379)
38.8% (160)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
44.5% (236)
By Period
McBain
Sasson
P1
47.1%
43.8%
P2
47.4%
38.8%
P3
45.4%
44.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |