Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 65.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 65.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 71.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
McBain
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McBain
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
46.8% (248)
+5.7%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
62.5% (8)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
43.8% (16)
-7.6%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
McBain
Rasmussen
Home
52.4% (309)
50.0% (98)
Away
49.7% (326)
45.4% (174)
By Period
McBain
Rasmussen
P1
54.0%
40.2%
P2
52.7%
55.8%
P3
46.5%
43.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Jack McBain |